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Thursday, 25 January 2024

Conscription, Trump and NATO

The issue of conscription has come up in the news.  The official reason is the threat that Russia poses. To be fair, Russia does not pose much of a threat at present. Most of its available troops are tied down in Ukraine.


But that is at present.  I think that Trump will be elected this year and I do not trust him to defend Europe if Russia decides to liberate the Baltic States in the way that it has with bits of Moldova and Georgia.  If that happens, the USA may or may not fulfil its obligations as part of NATO, that is of course, if it stays part of NATO.

The odds are that the conflict in Ukraine will be resolved if Trumps takes power with the surrender of yet more Ukrainian territory, and that means that Russia will then rearm and prepare for its next land grab.